UFC 260 predictions, odds: Stipe Miocic, Vicente Luque among three best bets for a loaded fight card - CBS Sports

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UFC 260 is here. The heavyweight title rematch fans have been dying to see is ready to kick off from Las Vegas on Saturday night when champion Stipe Miocic takes on top contender Francis Ngannou in the main event. Miocic is coming off a trilogy battle with Daniel Cormier over the last three years where he won two of the three meetings. This after Miocic tamed the beast in Ngannou in 2018 for a unanimous decision win.

This card was also expected to see featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski take on top challenger Brian Ortega, but Volkanovski tested positive for COVID-19 just a week before the card and the bout was rescheduled. Instead, former welterweight champion Tyron Woodley will take on Vicente Luque in the co-main event. Woodley has struggled of late with three straight tough losses. Luque, meanwhile, has been a dominant force at 170 pounds with four wins in his last five fights.

While many fans and bettors will look solely at the moneyline offerings for the main event and co-main event, there's a lot more options to choose from in the props section for every fight. And that's what we're to help with now. You may have a lean one way or the other for how a fight will go, but that doesn't mean it's the best value to be had for said fight. Let's take a closer look at our three best bets for this card with odds provided by William Hill Sportsbook.

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Stipe Miocic vs. Francis Ngannou

Method of result	Odds
Miocic via KO/TKO/DQ	+200
Miocic via submission	+1200
Miocic via decision	+450
Ngannou via KO/TKO/DQ	+105
Ngannou via submission	+1000
Ngannou via decision	+1200
Draw	+6600
Fight goes the distance: YES	+275
Fight goes the distance: NO	-400

Pick: Miocic via decision (+450) -- We have somewhat recent data to pull from with the meeting between the two in January 2018. We saw then that Miocic could land a lot of clean, heavy punches and Ngannou's chin held up. Ngannou also cracked Miocic and the champion was able to take it, but Miocic has been knocked out twice, and neither Daniel Cormier or Stefan Struve hit as hard as Ngannou. All that said, you have to go back to April 2016 to find a fight Ngannou won after the two-minute mark. And you won't find a single fight he won after the second round ended. If Miocic follows his same path to victory as the first fight, utilizing his wrestling, the odds of the decision tick up considerably. Similarly, with every minute that goes by in the fight, the odds increase. A knockout either direction would not surprise -- which is why the odds are what they are -- but the chances that Miocic grinds out the decision feel stronger than the 18% implied odds that +450 represents.

Kharma Worthy vs. Jamie Mullarkey

Method of result	Odds
Worthy via KO/TKO/DQ	+225
Worthy via submission	+550
Worthy via decision	+450
Mullarkey via KO/TKO/DQ	+450
Mullarkey via submission	+1200
Mullarkey via decision	+650
Draw	+6600
Fight goes the distance: YES	+150
Fight goes the distance: NO	-200

Pick: Worthy via KO/TKO/DQ (+225) -- Mullarkey has struggled in his UFC fights, going 0-2 so far in his Octagon career. Worthy is coming off a loss in his most recent fight, but does have nine knockout victories on his resume, while Mullarkey has been stopped by punches twice in his career. One of those KO losses came to current UFC featherweight champ Alexander Volkanovski, but it does show that Mullarkey's chin is able to be cracked. Desperation to get a win and remain under contract with the UFC could place Mullarkey into situations where he is trying to force action, which opens up opportunities for Worthy to land some of his heavy strikes. Given there's not a ton of value on the odds by round or the over/under 1.5 rounds lines, Worthy managing to score another stoppage win in the Octagon seems a solid play.

Vicente Luque vs. Tyron Woodley

Method of result	Odds
Luque via KO/TKO/DQ	+275
Luque via submission	+550
Luque via decision	+150
Woodley via KO/TKO/DQ	+550
Woodley via submission	+1400
Woodley via decision	+333
Fight goes the distance: YES	-150
Fight goes the distance: NO	+110

Pick: Luque via KO/TKO/DQ (+275) -- Woodley has, to put it bluntly, looked awful nearly every second in the Octagon since the opening bell for his fight with Kamaru Usman. In fights with Usman, Gilbert Burns and Colby Covington, Woodley has been outlanded 724 to 192 in total strikes and 302 to 96 in significant strikes. He has also been taken down seven times across those fights, more than double all his fights prior. Luque is absolutely a finisher, with 11 wins by knockout, six by submission and only one by decision. Woodley is tough to stop, but he's been taking prolonged beatings, is coming off a TKO loss where he suffered an injury and fighting worse than ever before. If you feel like couching a Luque via KO bet, you can get a +188 line on William Hill for Luque by any form of stoppage, including submission.

Who wins Miocic vs. Ngannou, and which picks do you need to parlay together for a mammoth payout of almost 20-1? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on UFC 260, all from the ultimate insider who went an amazing 58-14 on picks last year.

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UFC 260 predictions, odds: Stipe Miocic, Vicente Luque among three best bets for a loaded fight card - CBS Sports
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